The basic determinant of political arrangements and conditions in Kenya is Raila Odinga. Political savants, examiners and researchers will cross their fingers and part their hairs pausing, speculating and pondering whether Raila’s somasault has any ramifications on the 2022 political framework. In any case, get the job done is to state that Raila’s well known handshake with Uhuru has totally complicated the political territory and tossed each one into disarray.
Ruto’s aspiration was pegged on a reasonable connection amongst Kikuyus and Kalenjins. The two groups can stick together as long the adversary is Raila. It’s difficult to electrify the Kikuyu/Kalenjin vote if Raila isn’t the adversary, as it were. All the more in this way, Kikuyus are known to turn out in vast numbers in the event that they are voting to crush Raila. They don’t vote in favor of Uhuru on the grounds that they adore him. No. They just vote to vanquish Raila.
ninth March, 2018 is the day Ruto will dependably revile in his life-the day of the HANDSHAKE. Everything was well on course until that paramount day. He was only 2cm far from the Presidency until the point that he saw from the window of his Harambee house Annex office as his Presidential desire was being ended with a handshake on the means of the Main Harambee house which is straightforwardly inverse.
A couple of days before that, Raila had been in a memorial service in Kipkelion, Kericho County where he warned; “Ruto kama anataka kuwa Rais atanihitaji mimi”,which Ruto lieutenants expelled. On the off chance that I were William Ruto I would have tried to back-peddle, call Raila and sit him down for a discussion. It was completely clear Raila recognized what was coming ahead. Also, incidentally, place yourself in Uhuru’s shoes: Would you disregard a plan to change from the Presidency to the prevalence toward the finish of your term, just to make Ruto President? No !.
As I said in another article here, Ruto battling the framework is a mission incomprehensible, and it’s foolish. Ruto’s selling out was so natural, more simple than some other in the historical backdrop of disloyalties in Kenya. Why? One: Because the framework enabled him to pick something here, something there and something all over the place. Gigantic proof of join, burglary, abuse of office is some place on some person’s work area, being refreshed every day.
Two: The state is still in care of proof against him in ICC charges which was ended however can be re-explored and re-attempted. This fundamentally implies it’s self-destructive for Ruto to wage a war against the framework, it’s basically inconceivable. His alternatives are constrained, he is held prisoner he can’t get out and he can’t battle from inside.
My recommendation to DP Ruto: Just quiets down, be well disposed to UhuruRaila,support the handshake and campaign for a space in the following government-likely a Deputy PM , and live to battle one more day.